A recent development in the Mundial has sparked interest in Spain's chances of winning. Despite a setback in the first match, Spain's prospects remain largely unchanged. 5% chance of winning the tournament.

This model is based on the strength of each team, using simulations to determine the likelihood of success. Further details on the model and its predictions can be found in El País, which provides more information on Spain's continued status as a favorite to win, despite the initial stumble.